Language:English
NC State Wolfpack v Duke Blue Devils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
NC State Wolfpack (Local)
Prediction 19.99%5.00fair odd
EV +5.97%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.08%19.97%20.17%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.674.755.3023.81%21.43%21.05%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Duke Blue Devils (Visit)
Prediction 80.01%1.25fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -15.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.92%80.03%79.83%81.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.191.191.2185.47%84.15%84.03%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 19.99%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 80.01%. For NC State Wolfpack (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.00. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +5.97%E +1.13%K +1.39%G +0.083% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.97%E +0.387%K +0.481%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.97%E +0.387%K +0.481%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV +0.972%E +0.192%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.028%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-02 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.028%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-02 23:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.028%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV -2.23%E -0.455%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.30%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 20:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -7.03%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-02 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.03%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.03%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-02 23:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -10.02%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.19%E -2.64%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.02%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.02%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.02%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-02 21:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -12.02%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 20:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 20:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -13.02%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -13.02%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -13.02%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -14.02%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -14.02%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -14.62%E -3.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -3.19%E -2.64%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.02%E -3.53%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-02 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -16.02%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -16.02%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-03-02 23:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.53% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.47% | 1.4% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 1.9% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 1.9% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.32% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.68% | 2.0% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25% | 2.6% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.99% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.01% | 2.9% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |