L’École des cotes

NC State Wolfpack v Duke Blue Devils

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-02 23:59 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prévision 19.99%5.00cote équitable
EV +5.97%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.083%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.08%19.97%20.17%22.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.674.755.3023.81%21.43%21.05%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Duke Blue Devils (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.01%1.25cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -15.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.92%80.03%79.83%81.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.191.191.2185.47%84.15%84.03%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +5.97%E +1.13%K +1.39%G +0.083%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 23:40
Everygame5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.97%E +0.387%K +0.481%G +0.009%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 23:35
DraftKings5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.97%E +0.387%K +0.481%G +0.009%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 23:55
BetUS5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV +0.972%E +0.192%K +0.240%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-02 23:35
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.028%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 23:35
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.028%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 23:34
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.028%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-02 23:55
Pinnacle4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV -2.23%E -0.455%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.30%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-02 23:55
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 23:50
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 23:50
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 23:50
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 23:50
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 23:50
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 23:50
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 23:50
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 23:40
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 23:40
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 23:40
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 21:45
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 20:34
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 15:05
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 23:40
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 23:50
Betr (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 23:40
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 23:45
FanDuel4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -7.03%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 23:35
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.03%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 23:40
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.03%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 23:35
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -10.02%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.19%E -2.64%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 23:55
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.02%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.02%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 23:55
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.02%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-02 21:00
Fliff4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -12.02%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 23:55
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 20:34
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 20:34
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -13.02%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 23:50
BetRivers4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -13.02%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 23:50
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -13.02%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -14.02%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 23:50
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -14.02%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.79%E -4.03%K -25.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 23:50
1xBet4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -14.62%E -3.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -3.19%E -2.64%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 22:45
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.02%E -3.53%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.99%E -3.33%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-02 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -16.02%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 23:55
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -16.02%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 23:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-03-02 23:55
Polymarket5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-03-02 23:35
Novig5.32I 18.80%NM 18.53%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.47%1.4%2026-03-02 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%1.9%2026-03-02 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%1.9%2026-03-02 23:55
ProphetX5.35I 18.69%NM 18.32%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.68%2.0%2026-03-02 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%2.6%2026-03-02 23:55
BetOpenly5.12I 19.53%NM 18.99%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.01%2.9%2026-03-02 23:55