Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana Grizzlies v Portland St Vikings

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 50.59%1.98fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.695%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.40%50.54%51.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.871.871.9554.64%53.49%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland St Vikings (Visit)

Prediction 49.41%2.02fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.80%49.60%49.46%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.911.9655.56%52.33%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montana Grizzlies (Local): 50.59%; Portland St Vikings (Visit): 49.41%. For Montana Grizzlies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -1.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.35%E -0.695%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.35%E -0.695%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Neds🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:09
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 20:04
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:29
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.04%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 15:10
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 19:54
Bet Right🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 19:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 19:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:28
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:40
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:11
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:29
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:29
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:29
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.91%E -3.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:29
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 20:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 20:30
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.10%E -3.78%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -11.06%E -6.14%K -13.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -11.06%E -6.14%K -13.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 20:29
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 16:15
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 18:04
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:02
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 19:54
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-02-28 20:00
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%2.6%2026-02-28 20:34
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%2.9%2026-02-28 20:49
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%3.1%2026-02-28 20:54