L’École des cotes

Montana Grizzlies v Portland St Vikings

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Montana Grizzlies (Local)

Prévision 50.59%1.98cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.695%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%50.40%50.54%51.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.871.871.9554.64%53.49%53.48%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Portland St Vikings (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.41%2.02cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -3.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.80%49.60%49.46%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.911.911.9655.56%52.33%52.36%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.35%E -0.695%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.35%E -0.695%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:09
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 20:04
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:29
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.04%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 15:10
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 17:00
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 19:54
Bet Right1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 19:54
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 19:54
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:29
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:29
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:28
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 16:50
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:40
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:11
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:29
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:29
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:29
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:29
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.40%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:29
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.91%E -3.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:29
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 20:30
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 20:29
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 20:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:10
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.10%E -3.78%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -11.06%E -6.14%K -13.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.41%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -11.06%E -6.14%K -13.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 20:29
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 16:15
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 18:04
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:05
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:02
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 19:54
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.60%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-02-28 20:00
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%2.6%2026-02-28 20:34
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%2.9%2026-02-28 20:49
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%3.1%2026-02-28 20:54