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Missouri St Bears v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Missouri St Bears (Local)
Prediction 49.43%2.02fair odd
EV +1.32%
Edge +0.646%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%49.04%49.48%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.942.0554.64%51.69%51.55%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit)
Prediction 50.57%1.98fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.709%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%50.96%50.52%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.861.871.9557.80%53.87%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri St Bears (Local): 49.43%; Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit): 50.57%. For Missouri St Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.32%E +0.646%K +1.26%G +0.017% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.32%E +0.646%K +1.26%G +0.017% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV +0.336%E +0.165%K +0.326%G +0.001% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.15%E -0.573%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.15%E -0.573%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.50%E -6.57%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.15%E -0.573%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.51%E -7.23%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.12%E -1.59%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.12%E -1.59%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -3.12%E -1.59%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -9.98%E -5.61%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.93%E -3.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:52 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.96%E -4.37%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.34%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.34%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.38%E -0.709%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | -0.0% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |