L’École des cotes

Missouri St Bears v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Missouri St Bears (Local)

Prévision 49.43%2.02cote équitable
EV +1.32%
Avantage +0.646%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.38%49.04%49.48%51.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.942.0554.64%51.69%51.55%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.57%1.98cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.709%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.68%50.96%50.52%53.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.861.871.9557.80%53.87%53.48%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.32%E +0.646%K +1.26%G +0.017%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:50
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.32%E +0.646%K +1.26%G +0.017%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:49
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV +0.336%E +0.165%K +0.326%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:10
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.15%E -0.573%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 00:55
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.15%E -0.573%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.50%E -6.57%K -15.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 23:45
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.15%E -0.573%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.51%E -7.23%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.12%E -1.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:55
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.12%E -1.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:55
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -3.12%E -1.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -9.98%E -5.61%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 00:55
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:55
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:55
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:55
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:55
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:55
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:55
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:55
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:50
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:55
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.93%E -3.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:55
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 00:55
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:50
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:50
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 00:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:45
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:45
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:45
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:52
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:43
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.96%E -4.37%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 00:55
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:45
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:45
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:45
NordicBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 00:45
Betsson1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 00:45
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.38%E -0.709%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 00:45
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-03-05 23:40
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-06 00:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-06 00:55
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-06 00:55
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%3.4%2026-03-06 00:55