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Michigan Wolverines v Wisconsin Badgers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan Wolverines (Local)
Prediction 86.81%1.15fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -14.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.82%86.73%86.97%88.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1393.46%90.51%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisconsin Badgers (Visit)
Prediction 13.19%7.58fair odd
EV +12.14%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.197%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.18%13.27%13.03%16.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.777.008.5017.24%14.76%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 86.81%; Wisconsin Badgers (Visit): 13.19%. For Wisconsin Badgers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.58. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.12%E -6.65%K -101.66%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +12.14%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.197% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +6.73%E +0.832%K +0.949%G +0.064% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +2.91%E +0.372%K +0.427%G +0.012% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.51%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 7.71I 12.97%NM 12.49%EV +1.72%E +0.223%K +0.256%G +0.004% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.398%E +0.052%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -4.35%E -0.600%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.35%E -0.600%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.35%E -0.600%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -5.01%E -0.696%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 17:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.73%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.27%EV -13.59%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.25%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.25%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -15.57%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 17:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 17:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.78%E -2.48%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -2.78%E -2.48%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -23.48%E -4.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -2.78%E -2.48%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -23.48%E -4.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.95% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.05% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.33% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.67% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |