L’École des cotes

Michigan Wolverines v Wisconsin Badgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 17:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prévision 86.81%1.15cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -14.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.82%86.73%86.97%88.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.101.101.1393.46%90.51%90.91%88.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wisconsin Badgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.19%7.58cote équitable
EV +12.14%
Avantage +1.43%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.197%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.18%13.27%13.03%16.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.806.777.008.5017.24%14.76%14.29%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.12%E -6.65%K -101.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +12.14%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.197%5.2%2026-03-14 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +6.73%E +0.832%K +0.949%G +0.064%4.1%2026-03-14 17:05
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +2.91%E +0.372%K +0.427%G +0.012%4.6%2026-03-14 17:05
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 87.51%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000%7.71I 12.97%NM 12.49%EV +1.72%E +0.223%K +0.256%G +0.004%3.9%2026-03-14 16:59
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.398%E +0.052%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 17:05
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 17:05
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 16:59
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 17:05
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 16:59
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 17:00
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.13%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -4.35%E -0.600%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.35%E -0.600%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 17:04
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.35%E -0.600%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 17:05
ReBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -5.01%E -0.696%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 16:59
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 17:03
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 16:59
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -4.10%K -45.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 16:59
Betway1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 17:05
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 17:05
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.65%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 17:04
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.73%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.27%EV -13.59%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 16:59
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.25%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 17:05
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.25%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 17:00
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.13%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -15.57%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 17:05
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 17:01
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.38%E -4.94%K -59.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 17:01
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:05
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:05
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:05
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:05
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:05
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:05
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:05
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:05
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:05
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.91%E -1.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:04
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.78%E -2.48%K -23.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 17:05
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.64%E -3.28%K -33.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.84%E -3.47%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -2.78%E -2.48%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -23.48%E -4.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 17:05
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -2.78%E -2.48%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -23.48%E -4.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 17:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-03-14 16:59
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-14 17:05
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-14 17:05
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 87.95%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.05%2.4%2026-03-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%3.2%2026-03-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%3.6%2026-03-14 17:05
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 87.33%7.58I 13.19%NM 12.67%4.1%2026-03-14 17:05