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Michigan Wolverines v Saint Louis Billikens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan Wolverines (Local)
Prediction 85.01%1.18fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -22.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.70%84.88%85.30%86.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.121.1490.91%89.23%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saint Louis Billikens (Visit)
Prediction 14.99%6.67fair odd
EV +4.34%
Edge +0.624%
Kelly +0.729%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 6.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.97%15.12%14.70%17.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.196.256.9618.52%16.15%16.00%14.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 85.01%; Saint Louis Billikens (Visit): 14.99%. For Saint Louis Billikens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.67. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.03%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.96I 14.37%NM 13.97%EV +4.34%E +0.624%K +0.729%G +0.032% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +0.445%E +0.066%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +0.445%E +0.066%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +0.445%E +0.066%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -0.904%E -0.137%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -0.904%E -0.137%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.13%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.87%EV -3.90%E -0.609%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.05%E -0.633%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.05%E -0.633%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 16:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -3.09%E -2.71%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -7.80%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.09%E -2.71%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.05%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.05%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.05%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.80%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.80%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.80%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -13.80%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -14.55%E -2.55%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -19.04%E -3.53%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.57% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 16:09 |