A Escola das Odds

Michigan Wolverines v Saint Louis Billikens

Início: 2026-03-21 16:14 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Previsão 85.01%1.18odd justa
EV -3.09%
Vantagem -2.71%
Kelly -22.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.70%84.88%85.30%86.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.121.121.1490.91%89.23%89.29%87.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Saint Louis Billikens (Visitante)

Previsão 14.99%6.67odd justa
EV +4.34%
Vantagem +0.624%
Kelly +0.729%
Crescimento +0.032%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.97%15.12%14.70%17.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.406.196.256.9618.52%16.15%16.00%14.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.03%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.97%EV +4.34%E +0.624%K +0.729%G +0.032%2.9%2026-03-21 16:09
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +0.445%E +0.066%K +0.078%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 16:09
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +0.445%E +0.066%K +0.078%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 16:09
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +0.445%E +0.066%K +0.078%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -0.904%E -0.137%K -0.161%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 16:09
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -0.904%E -0.137%K -0.161%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 16:09
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:09
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:05
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:09
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 16:09
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.13%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.87%EV -3.90%E -0.609%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 16:09
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.05%E -0.633%K -0.750%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.05%E -0.633%K -0.750%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:09
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:09
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:09
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:09
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:09
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:08
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -3.09%E -2.71%K -22.08%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -7.80%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 16:09
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:09
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:09
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:09
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 16:09
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 16:09
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 16:09
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.09%E -2.71%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.05%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.05%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.05%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.80%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.80%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:09
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.80%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:09
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -13.80%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 16:09
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -5.64%E -5.08%K -51.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -14.55%E -2.55%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 16:09
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -19.04%E -3.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 86.57%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.43%0.5%2026-03-21 16:09
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-21 16:10
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-21 16:09
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-03-21 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-03-21 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%2.4%2026-03-21 16:09
BetOpenly1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%3.3%2026-03-21 16:09