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Michigan Wolverines v Michigan St Spartans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan Wolverines (Local)
Prediction 81.03%1.23fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -13.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.71%81.03%81.04%82.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.171.171.2086.96%85.35%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Michigan St Spartans (Visit)
Prediction 18.97%5.27fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.386%
Kelly +0.474%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 5.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.86%18.97%18.96%21.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.905.005.3822.73%20.42%20.00%18.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 81.03%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 18.97%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV +2.07%E +0.386%K +0.474%G +0.010% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.392%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -0.392%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 20:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.392%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -2.29%E -0.444%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -2.29%E -0.444%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.24%E -0.635%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 20:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 20:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 20:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.03%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.88%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.88%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 20:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -10.83%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.83%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.83%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.83%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.83%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -11.78%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.72%E -2.77%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.72%E -2.77%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -15.38%E -3.45%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -16.52%E -3.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.33% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.67% | 0.0% | 2026-03-08 20:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58% | 2.3% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.49% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.51% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 20:34 |