A Escola das Odds

Michigan Wolverines v Michigan St Spartans

Início: 2026-03-08 20:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Previsão 81.03%1.23odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -13.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.71%81.03%81.04%82.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.151.171.171.2086.96%85.35%85.47%83.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Michigan St Spartans (Visitante)

Previsão 18.97%5.27odd justa
EV +2.07%
Vantagem +0.386%
Kelly +0.474%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.86%18.97%18.96%21.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.404.905.005.3822.73%20.42%20.00%18.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV +2.07%E +0.386%K +0.474%G +0.010%4.1%2026-03-08 20:35
theScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.392%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 20:34
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -0.392%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 20:30
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.392%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 20:34
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -2.29%E -0.444%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 20:34
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -2.29%E -0.444%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 20:34
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.24%E -0.635%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 20:29
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 20:33
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 20:34
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 20:29
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:34
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:29
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:35
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:35
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:29
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:29
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:35
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:34
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:35
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:35
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.03%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 20:35
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:35
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:34
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:34
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:35
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:35
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:34
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:34
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.88%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 20:34
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.88%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 20:20
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -10.83%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.83%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 20:34
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.83%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 20:29
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.83%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 20:29
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.83%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 20:28
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -11.78%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.72%E -2.77%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 20:34
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.72%E -2.77%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 20:34
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -15.38%E -3.45%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 20:29
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -16.52%E -3.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 20:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.20I 83.33%NM 83.33%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.67%0.0%2026-03-08 20:29
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-08 20:35
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-03-08 20:34
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%2.3%2026-03-08 20:35
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 82.49%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.51%2.7%2026-03-08 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%9.5%2026-03-08 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%9.5%2026-03-08 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%9.5%2026-03-08 20:34