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Miami (OH) RedHawks v Toledo Rockets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local)
Prediction 76.42%1.31fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -7.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.30%76.45%76.41%77.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.40%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toledo Rockets (Visit)
Prediction 23.58%4.24fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.320%
Kelly +0.416%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.55%23.59%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.014.004.3027.03%24.97%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local): 76.42%; Toledo Rockets (Visit): 23.58%. For Toledo Rockets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +1.37%E +0.320%K +0.416%G +0.006% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +1.37%E +0.320%K +0.416%G +0.006% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.195%E +0.046%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.040%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.040%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.983%E -0.234%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.983%E -0.234%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 23:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.29%E -6.91%K -41.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.983%E -0.234%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.70%E -2.94%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 15:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:52 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -2.94%E -2.32%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -6.41%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.94%E -2.32%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.76%E -5.54%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.18%E -1.70%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.76%E -5.54%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.76%E -5.54%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.83% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.17% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |