L’École des cotes

Miami (OH) RedHawks v Toledo Rockets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local)

Prévision 76.42%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -7.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.30%76.45%76.41%77.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.40%80.00%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toledo Rockets (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.58%4.24cote équitable
EV +1.37%
Avantage +0.320%
Kelly +0.416%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%23.55%23.59%25.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.014.004.3027.03%24.97%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +1.37%E +0.320%K +0.416%G +0.006%3.9%2026-03-03 23:50
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +1.37%E +0.320%K +0.416%G +0.006%4.6%2026-03-03 23:35
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.195%E +0.046%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.040%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 23:55
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.040%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 23:55
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.983%E -0.234%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:55
Caesars1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.983%E -0.234%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:48
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.29%E -6.91%K -41.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.983%E -0.234%K -0.307%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 23:35
Everygame1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.70%E -2.94%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 19:10
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:15
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:15
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:15
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:15
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:15
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:15
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 15:24
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:55
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:52
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 22:35
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 22:35
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 15:25
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -2.94%E -2.32%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -6.41%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:01
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.08%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 18:15
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.94%E -2.32%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 22:15
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 22:15
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 22:15
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 22:15
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 22:35
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.76%E -5.54%K -30.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 22:15
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 18:10
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 18:10
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.23%E -4.22%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 17:50
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.18%E -1.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.76%E -5.54%K -30.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 22:35
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.76%E -5.54%K -30.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 22:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-03-03 23:55
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38%0.6%2026-03-03 23:55
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-03 23:55
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-03-03 22:25
BetOpenly1.23I 81.30%NM 78.83%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.17%3.1%2026-03-03 23:55