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Merrimack Warriors v Siena Saints
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Merrimack Warriors (Local)
Prediction 53.95%1.85fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.700%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.59%54.09%53.95%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.741.731.8359.52%57.35%57.80%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Siena Saints (Visit)
Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd
EV -0.982%
Edge -0.457%
Kelly -0.854%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.44%45.91%46.05%47.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.1551.28%48.16%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Merrimack Warriors (Local): 53.95%; Siena Saints (Visit): 46.05%. For Siena Saints (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.982%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -1.28%E -0.700%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -6.51%E -3.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 00:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.90%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 00:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.90%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.44%E -1.92%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.67%E -2.25%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.44%E -1.92%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.67%E -2.25%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.98%E -2.23%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.97%E -3.45%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.98%E -2.23%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.97%E -3.45%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 00:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.06%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.21%E -2.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.60%E -3.20%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 00:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.982%E -0.457%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 00:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.982%E -0.457%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 00:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 00:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 00:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.982%E -0.457%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.36%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.36%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.36%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -8.81%E -4.45%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-11 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -8.83%E -5.23%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -3.75%E -1.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 20:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.37%E -5.58%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71% | 1.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |