L’École des cotes

Merrimack Warriors v Siena Saints

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Merrimack Warriors (Local)

Prévision 53.95%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.700%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.59%54.09%53.95%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.741.731.8359.52%57.35%57.80%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Siena Saints (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.05%2.17cote équitable
EV -0.982%
Avantage -0.457%
Kelly -0.854%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.44%45.91%46.05%47.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.082.102.1551.28%48.16%47.62%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -1.28%E -0.700%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -6.51%E -3.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 00:45
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.90%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:40
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.90%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:40
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.44%E -1.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.67%E -2.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 00:40
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.44%E -1.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.67%E -2.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 00:40
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.98%E -2.23%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.97%E -3.45%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.98%E -2.23%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.97%E -3.45%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 00:50
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 00:35
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 20:35
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 00:40
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 00:53
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 18:50
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:50
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.06%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.21%E -2.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 00:55
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.60%E -3.20%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 00:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.982%E -0.457%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 00:49
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.982%E -0.457%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 00:44
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:55
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 00:50
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 00:49
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 00:50
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 00:50
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 00:50
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.44%E -0.674%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 00:49
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 00:55
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 00:40
NordicBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 00:40
Betsson1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 00:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 00:49
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 00:50
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.982%E -0.457%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.36%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:50
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.36%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:50
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.36%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:50
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 00:25
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -8.81%E -4.45%K -8.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 00:50
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 00:50
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-11 00:49
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -8.83%E -5.23%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -3.75%E -1.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:35
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.37%E -5.58%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 00:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-10 23:40
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-03-11 00:55
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%1.8%2026-03-11 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-03-11 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-03-11 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-03-11 00:55
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%3.5%2026-03-11 00:55