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Mercer Bears v Samford Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mercer Bears (Local)
Prediction 61.71%1.62fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.90%61.75%61.64%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.541.551.5767.11%64.79%64.52%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Samford Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 38.29%2.61fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.762%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%38.25%38.36%39.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.472.462.5842.19%40.53%40.73%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mercer Bears (Local): 61.71%; Samford Bulldogs (Visit): 38.29%. For Samford Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.58, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.12%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.12%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.03%E -2.03%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.95%E -2.86%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.95%E -2.86%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.95%E -2.86%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.80%E -2.36%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 12:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.95%E -2.86%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.74%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.20%E -0.467%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 12:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.50%E -1.39%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 12:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.10%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.21%E -4.08%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.21%E -4.08%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.10%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.21%E -4.08%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.10%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.10%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.44%E -4.96%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.25%E -3.90%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.44%E -4.96%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.25%E -3.90%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -8.06%E -5.41%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -4.65%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.63% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.37% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |