Mercer Bears v Samford Bulldogs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

62%

38%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mercer Bears (Local)

Prévision 61.71%1.62cote équitable

EV -3.12%

Avantage -1.99%

Kelly -5.47%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

60.90%61.75%61.64%62.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Distribution des cotes

1.491.541.551.5767.11%64.79%64.52%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Samford Bulldogs (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.29%2.61cote équitable

EV -1.20%

Avantage -0.467%

Kelly -0.762%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

37.23%38.25%38.36%39.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Distribution des cotes

2.372.472.462.5842.19%40.53%40.73%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local ▼	Visiteur	Marge	Mise à jour
BetOnline.ag	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.12%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-02-21 17:20
LowVig.ag	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.12%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-02-21 17:19
Bovada	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-02-21 15:50
BetUS	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-02-21 17:15
theScore Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-02-21 18:15
Pinnacle	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.03%E -2.03%K -3.40%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-02-21 17:55
Betway	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 01:10
Hard Rock Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 17:40
PointsBet (AU)	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 12:40
LiveScore Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 17:45
Virgin Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 17:45
LeoVegas	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 17:45
betPARX	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 17:45
Svenska Spel	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 17:45
Bally Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 17:45
ATG (SE)	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 17:45
BetRivers	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.95%E -2.86%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.95%E -2.86%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.95%E -2.86%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 15:00
1xBet	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.80%E -2.36%K -3.97%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-21 12:14
TABtouch	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.95%E -2.86%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-21 17:45
DraftKings	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.74%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 17:15
BetMGM	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 17:20
Caesars	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.20%E -0.467%K -0.762%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 12:39
FanDuel	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.50%E -1.39%K -2.30%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 17:40
888sport	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 17:45
888sport (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 17:45
Mr Green (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 17:20
TAB	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 17:15
Paddy Power	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.27%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 12:10
Neds	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-21 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-21 17:15
BoyleSports	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.10%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-21 18:15
PlayUp	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.21%E -4.08%K -11.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-02-21 18:15
NordicBet	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.21%E -4.08%K -11.93%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.10%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-02-21 17:45
Betsson	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.21%E -4.08%K -11.93%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.10%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-02-21 17:40
Fliff	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.38%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.10%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-02-21 18:35
Coral	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.44%E -4.96%K -14.88%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.25%E -3.90%K -6.75%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-02-21 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.44%E -4.96%K -14.88%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.25%E -3.90%K -6.75%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-02-21 17:15
Marathon Bet	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -8.06%E -5.41%K -16.44%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -4.65%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-21 18:40

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
Polymarket	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-02-21 17:10
Kalshi	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-02-21 16:25
Novig	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.63%	2.57I 38.91%NM 38.37%	1.4%	2026-02-21 18:40
ProphetX	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%	1.6%	2026-02-21 18:50