The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Marshall Thundering Herd v Toledo Rockets

2026-11-07 19:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marshall Thundering Herd (Local)

Prediction 56.02%1.78fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.15%56.37%55.56%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.681.691.7462.11%59.50%59.35%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 43.98%2.27fair odd
EV +3.34%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +2.48%
Growth +0.083%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%43.63%44.44%44.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.162.152.3547.85%46.27%46.51%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Marshall Thundering Herd (Local): 56.02%; Toledo Rockets (Visit): 43.98%. For Toledo Rockets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.35, producing a positive expected value of +3.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +3.34%E +1.42%K +2.48%G +0.083%4.7%2026-11-06 19:59
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-06 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-06 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-06 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 00:05
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 00:05
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.64%E -2.12%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-06 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 23:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-06 22:55
picklebet_au🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-06 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-06 22:50
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -8.09%E -3.87%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-07 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-11-06 23:05
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%6.0%2026-11-07 00:50
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%6.1%2026-11-07 00:50