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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Marshall Thundering Herd v Toledo Rockets

2026-11-07 19:00 UTC — NCAAB

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Marshall Thundering Herd (主队)

预测 56.21%1.78公平赔率
EV -2.19%
优势 -1.26%
Kelly -2.96%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.74

博彩公司预测分布
55.15%56.56%55.92%59.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.681.681.7462.11%59.64%59.52%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

Toledo Rockets (客队)

预测 43.79%2.28公平赔率
EV +2.90%
优势 +1.23%
Kelly +2.15%
增长率 +0.062%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布
40.66%43.44%44.08%44.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.092.162.152.3547.85%46.25%46.51%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Marshall Thundering Herd (主队)：56.21%；Toledo Rockets (客队)：43.79%。 对于“Toledo Rockets (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.28。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.35，由此产生+2.90%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -9.50%E -5.90%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +2.90%E +1.23%K +2.15%G +0.062%4.7%2026-11-06 19:59
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.50%E -5.90%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-06 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.50%E -5.90%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-06 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.50%E -5.90%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-06 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 00:05
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.31%E -1.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-06 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 23:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.12%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-06 22:55
picklebet_au🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.30%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-06 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-06 22:50
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -8.48%E -4.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-07 00:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-11-07 01:05
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%5.3%2026-11-07 01:05
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%6.0%2026-11-07 00:50