Language:English
Louisville Cardinals v South Florida Bulls
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Louisville Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 60.26%1.66fair odd
EV -0.578%
Edge -0.350%
Kelly -0.889%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.29%60.21%60.15%63.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.591.601.6568.03%62.84%62.31%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
South Florida Bulls (Visit)
Prediction 39.74%2.52fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.528%
Kelly +0.869%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.57%39.79%39.85%41.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.352.5544.44%42.46%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 60.26%; South Florida Bulls (Visit): 39.74%. For South Florida Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -11.42%E -7.77%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +1.35%E +0.528%K +0.869%G +0.012% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.19%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.640%E -0.256%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -9.62%E -6.41%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -2.23%E -0.906%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 17:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.63%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.63%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.82%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.19%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.82%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.82%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 17:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.19%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.19%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.60%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 17:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.41%E -5.53%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.81%E -5.10%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.41%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.81%E -5.10%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.41%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.81%E -2.45%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.578%E -0.350%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 16:22 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -6.00%E -3.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -7.00%E -2.99%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -9.38%E -4.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -9.38%E -4.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -9.38%E -4.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -9.38%E -4.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.60%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.60%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 16:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |