La escuela de los momios

Louisville Cardinals v South Florida Bulls

Inicio: 2026-03-19 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 60.26%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.578%
Ventaja -0.350%
Kelly -0.889%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.29%60.21%60.15%63.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.591.601.6568.03%62.84%62.31%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

South Florida Bulls (Visitante)

Predicción 39.74%2.52momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.528%
Kelly +0.869%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.57%39.79%39.85%41.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.362.352.5544.44%42.46%42.55%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -11.42%E -7.77%K -24.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +1.35%E +0.528%K +0.869%G +0.012%7.2%2026-03-19 17:24
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.19%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.640%E -0.256%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:14
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -9.62%E -6.41%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -2.23%E -0.906%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:23
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.63%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 17:15
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.63%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 16:44
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.82%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 17:24
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.19%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.82%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 17:19
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.82%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 17:14
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 17:14
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 17:25
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 17:18
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.19%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.19%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:34
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.60%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:04
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.41%E -5.53%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:29
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.81%E -5.10%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.41%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:59
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.81%E -5.10%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.41%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:19
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.81%E -2.45%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:24
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.578%E -0.350%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 17:24
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 16:22
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:58
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:00
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:24
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -6.00%E -3.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -7.00%E -2.99%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:19
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:25
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:19
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:24
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:19
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.78%E -1.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:19
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -3.73%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:24
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -9.38%E -4.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:24
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -9.38%E -4.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:25
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -9.38%E -4.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:19
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -9.38%E -4.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:14
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:14
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 17:14
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.60%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.60%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-03-19 17:24
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-19 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-19 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-19 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-19 17:14
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-19 17:14
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-19 16:49
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-03-19 17:25
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%7.1%2026-03-19 17:24