Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LIU Sharks v Chicago St Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LIU Sharks (Local)

Prediction 83.48%1.20fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -19.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.17%83.46%83.41%85.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.151.1690.91%87.53%86.96%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago St Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 16.52%6.06fair odd
EV +7.35%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.47%16.54%16.59%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.605.506.5020.00%17.86%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LIU Sharks (Local): 83.48%; Chicago St Cougars (Visit): 16.52%. For Chicago St Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.06. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.35%E +1.13%K +1.34%G +0.098%4.7%2026-03-04 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.17%E -7.42%K -81.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +7.35%E +1.13%K +1.34%G +0.098%6.3%2026-03-04 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +5.70%E +0.890%K +1.05%G +0.060%4.9%2026-03-04 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.52%EV -5.66%E -5.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.48%EV +1.90%E +0.308%K +0.367%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-04 23:45
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.83%E -4.23%K -34.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.910%E -0.152%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.66%E -5.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.910%E -0.152%K -0.182%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 23:25
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.910%E -0.152%K -0.182%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.910%E -0.152%K -0.182%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 23:20
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.33%E -6.61%K -66.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.910%E -0.152%K -0.182%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 23:49
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.99%E -3.47%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -4.87%E -0.846%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.99%E -3.47%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -4.87%E -0.846%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.99%E -3.47%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -4.87%E -0.846%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.83%E -4.23%K -34.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.04%E -0.876%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:30
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.99%E -3.47%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -5.86%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.99%E -3.47%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.83%E -4.23%K -34.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:54
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.56%EV -5.66%E -5.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -11.64%E -2.18%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:54
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.83%E -4.23%K -34.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.30%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -14.12%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:20
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -14.12%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -15.77%E -3.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:55
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -15.77%E -3.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -15.77%E -3.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -17.42%E -3.48%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 23:55
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.66%E -5.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.42%E -3.48%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.66%E -5.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.42%E -3.48%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.14I 87.72%NM 87.46%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.54%0.3%2026-03-04 23:50
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-04 23:35
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-03-04 23:35
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 85.05%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.95%2.2%2026-03-04 23:50
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 84.97%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.03%2.3%2026-03-04 23:55