L’École des cotes

LIU Sharks v Chicago St Cougars

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

LIU Sharks (Local)

Prévision 83.48%1.20cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -2.72%
Kelly -19.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.17%83.46%83.41%85.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.141.151.1690.91%87.53%86.96%86.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago St Cougars (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.52%6.06cote équitable
EV +7.35%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.098%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.47%16.54%16.59%18.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.605.506.5020.00%17.86%18.18%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.35%E +1.13%K +1.34%G +0.098%4.7%2026-03-04 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.17%E -7.42%K -81.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +7.35%E +1.13%K +1.34%G +0.098%6.3%2026-03-04 23:30
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +5.70%E +0.890%K +1.05%G +0.060%4.9%2026-03-04 23:50
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 84.52%EV -5.66%E -5.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.48%EV +1.90%E +0.308%K +0.367%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-04 23:45
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.83%E -4.23%K -34.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.910%E -0.152%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:45
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.66%E -5.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.910%E -0.152%K -0.182%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 23:25
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.910%E -0.152%K -0.182%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 23:25
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.910%E -0.152%K -0.182%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 23:20
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.33%E -6.61%K -66.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.910%E -0.152%K -0.182%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 23:49
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.99%E -3.47%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -4.87%E -0.846%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.99%E -3.47%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -4.87%E -0.846%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:00
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.99%E -3.47%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -4.87%E -0.846%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.83%E -4.23%K -34.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.04%E -0.876%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:30
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.99%E -3.47%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -5.86%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 23:00
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:19
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.99%E -3.47%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:55
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.83%E -4.23%K -34.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:54
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.50%E -5.80%K -54.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.17%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 82.56%EV -5.66%E -5.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -11.64%E -2.18%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:54
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.83%E -4.23%K -34.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.30%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -14.12%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:20
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -14.12%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:25
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -15.77%E -3.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:55
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -15.77%E -3.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -15.77%E -3.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.16%E -2.72%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -17.42%E -3.48%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 23:55
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.66%E -5.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.42%E -3.48%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.66%E -5.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.42%E -3.48%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 23:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.14I 87.72%NM 87.46%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.54%0.3%2026-03-04 23:50
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-04 23:35
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-03-04 23:35
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 85.05%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.95%2.2%2026-03-04 23:50
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 84.97%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.03%2.3%2026-03-04 23:55