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Liberty Flames v Sam Houston St Bearkats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liberty Flames (Local)
Prediction 65.03%1.54fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%64.96%65.01%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.481.5070.42%68.13%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit)
Prediction 34.97%2.86fair odd
EV -0.345%
Edge -0.121%
Kelly -0.187%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%35.04%34.99%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.23%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liberty Flames (Local): 65.03%; Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit): 34.97%. For Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -0.345%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.45%E -1.63%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.45%E -1.63%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.10%E -2.08%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.14%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.10%E -2.08%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.14%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.10%E -2.08%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -3.10%E -2.08%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -4.54%E -1.66%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:36 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.89%E -1.80%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.58%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.40%E -2.99%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.40%E -2.99%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.05%E -3.46%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.09%E -0.748%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.05%E -3.46%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.05%E -3.46%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.09%E -0.748%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -8.39%E -3.20%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.345%E -0.121%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.09%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.09%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.09%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -5.24%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | -0.0% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |