L’École des cotes

Liberty Flames v Sam Houston St Bearkats

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Liberty Flames (Local)

Prévision 65.03%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -4.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.81%64.96%65.01%66.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.471.481.5070.42%68.13%67.57%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.97%2.86cote équitable
EV -0.345%
Avantage -0.121%
Kelly -0.187%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.57%35.04%34.99%37.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.23%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.45%E -1.63%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 18:39
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.45%E -1.63%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.10%E -2.08%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.14%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 18:34
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.10%E -2.08%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.14%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 18:34
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.10%E -2.08%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 18:34
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -3.10%E -2.08%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -4.54%E -1.66%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 18:45
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 18:38
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 18:34
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 18:36
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.89%E -1.80%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 18:34
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:40
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:39
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:39
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:40
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:40
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:39
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:39
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:39
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:39
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 18:39
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:39
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:39
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.75%E -2.53%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.58%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 18:39
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.40%E -2.99%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:54
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.40%E -2.99%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:54
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.05%E -3.46%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.09%E -0.748%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.05%E -3.46%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 18:34
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.05%E -3.46%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 18:35
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.09%E -0.748%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 18:34
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 18:34
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -8.39%E -3.20%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 18:39
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.345%E -0.121%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 18:34
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 18:39
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.09%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 18:35
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.09%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 18:35
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.09%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 18:44
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -5.24%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:39
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 18:40
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-03-07 18:44
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-07 18:55
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-07 18:39
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%1.8%2026-03-07 18:39