Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.59
assuming max odds 2.63
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lamar Cardinals (Local): 61.12%; Nicholls St Colonels (Visit): 38.88%. For Nicholls St Colonels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.26%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-02-23 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-02-23 23:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-02-23 23:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-02-23 23:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-02-23 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-02-23 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-02-23 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +1.10%E +0.421%K +0.685%G +0.007% | 3.4% | 2026-02-23 23:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.02%E -0.800%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-23 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.40%E -0.958%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-23 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-23 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-23 23:23 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.71%E -5.11%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-23 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-23 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-23 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 23:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 23:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -4.35%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-23 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-23 23:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-23 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-23 23:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-23 23:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-23 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-23 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-23 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-23 22:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-23 23:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-23 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-23 21:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-23 19:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-23 19:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.71%E -5.11%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-23 23:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.46%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-23 19:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -8.24%E -3.49%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-23 23:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.40%E -4.04%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-23 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.40%E -4.04%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-23 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.57%E -4.60%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-23 19:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.57%E -4.60%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-23 19:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-02-23 23:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-02-23 23:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.5% | 2026-02-23 23:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59% | 2.4% | 2026-02-23 23:49 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60% | 3.9% | 2026-02-23 23:49 |