La escuela de los momios

Lamar Cardinals v Nicholls St Colonels

Inicio: 2026-02-24 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Lamar Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 61.12%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -4.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.05%61.14%60.99%63.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.541.531.5966.67%65.00%65.36%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nicholls St Colonels (Visitante)

Predicción 38.88%2.57momio equitativo
EV +2.26%
Ventaja +0.860%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.031%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.32%38.86%39.01%39.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.452.6343.48%40.46%40.82%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031%4.7%2026-02-23 23:15
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031%4.7%2026-02-23 23:14
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031%4.7%2026-02-23 23:45
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031%4.7%2026-02-23 23:44
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031%4.7%2026-02-23 23:15
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031%4.7%2026-02-23 23:44
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +2.26%E +0.860%K +1.39%G +0.031%4.7%2026-02-23 23:45
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +1.10%E +0.421%K +0.685%G +0.007%3.4%2026-02-23 23:41
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.02%E -0.800%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 22:40
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.40%E -0.958%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 23:55
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-23 23:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 23:23
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.71%E -5.11%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-23 23:39
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-23 23:40
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 23:44
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 23:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 23:44
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -4.35%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 22:40
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-23 23:48
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-23 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-23 23:19
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-23 23:49
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 22:39
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 22:40
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-23 22:54
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-23 23:34
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 23:40
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 21:04
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 19:35
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 19:35
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.71%E -5.11%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-23 23:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.46%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 19:34
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -8.24%E -3.49%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 23:23
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.40%E -4.04%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 21:05
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.40%E -4.04%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.57%E -4.60%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-23 19:34
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.57%E -4.60%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-23 19:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-02-23 23:44
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-02-23 23:29
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-02-23 23:49
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%2.4%2026-02-23 23:49
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%3.9%2026-02-23 23:49