Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lafayette Leopards v Holy Cross Crusaders

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lafayette Leopards (Local)

Prediction 64.49%1.55fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -5.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.28%64.48%64.51%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.471.5170.42%68.10%68.03%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit)

Prediction 35.51%2.82fair odd
EV -0.579%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.322%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.52%35.49%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.8040.00%37.76%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lafayette Leopards (Local): 64.49%; Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit): 35.51%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.579%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 21:34
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 21:35
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 21:30
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.26%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 21:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.35%E -0.856%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-03 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:05
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 22:05
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 21:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.35%E -0.856%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.35%E -0.856%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 23:24
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.48%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 23:25
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.20%E -3.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.20%E -3.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.20%E -3.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.20%E -3.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 23:25
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.20%E -3.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 21:30
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.579%E -0.207%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -6.62%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 21:30
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.97%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 22:01
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -6.26%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 21:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.97%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 23:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.05%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -3.06%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 22:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.33%0.0%2026-03-03 23:55
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-03 23:55
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-03-03 23:55
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-03-03 23:15
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%2.2%2026-03-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.5%2026-03-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.5%2026-03-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.5%2026-03-03 23:25