La escuela de los momios

Lafayette Leopards v Holy Cross Crusaders

Inicio: 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Lafayette Leopards (Local)

Predicción 64.49%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -5.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.28%64.48%64.51%65.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.471.471.5170.42%68.10%68.03%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Holy Cross Crusaders (Visitante)

Predicción 35.51%2.82momio equitativo
EV -0.579%
Ventaja -0.207%
Kelly -0.322%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.12%35.52%35.49%36.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.652.8040.00%37.76%37.74%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 21:35
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 21:34
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 21:35
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 21:30
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.26%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 21:30
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.35%E -0.856%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-03 21:35
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:05
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 22:05
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 21:34
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.35%E -0.856%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 21:30
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.35%E -0.856%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 23:24
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.48%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:30
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:05
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 23:25
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.20%E -3.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.20%E -3.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:30
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.20%E -3.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:30
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.20%E -3.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 23:25
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.20%E -3.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 21:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 21:30
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 21:30
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.579%E -0.207%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:30
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -6.62%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 21:30
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.97%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 22:01
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 22:05
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -6.26%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 21:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.97%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 23:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 22:05
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.05%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -3.06%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 22:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.33%0.0%2026-03-03 23:55
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-03 23:55
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-03-03 23:55
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-03-03 23:15
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%2.2%2026-03-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.5%2026-03-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.5%2026-03-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.5%2026-03-03 23:25