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Jacksonville Dolphins v UMKC Kangaroos

Kickoff: 2026-11-10 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 61.57%1.62fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%61.65%61.58%63.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.561.5968.03%64.71%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UMKC Kangaroos (Visit)

Prediction 38.43%2.60fair odd
EV -0.085%
Edge -0.033%
Kelly -0.053%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.57%38.35%38.42%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.442.452.6042.55%41.05%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Dolphins (Local): 61.57%; UMKC Kangaroos (Visit): 38.43%. For UMKC Kangaroos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.602. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.600, with an expected value of -0.085%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.10%E -1.32%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-09 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.72%E -1.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-09 23:50
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.70%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-09 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-09 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 23:45
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 23:45
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 23:50
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 23:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 23:45
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 23:45
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 23:45
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 23:45
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-09 14:15
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 23:50
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 23:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 23:49
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -9.31%E -3.94%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-09 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.18%E -3.36%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-09 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.03%E -4.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -6.23%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 14:19
picklebet_au🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.085%E -0.033%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 21:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 14:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -8.92%E -3.77%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -8.92%E -3.77%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 23:10
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.49%E -6.46%K -20.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.01%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.49%E -6.46%K -20.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.01%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-11-09 23:55
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-11-09 23:45
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-11-09 23:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-11-09 22:10
BetOpenly◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%3.7%2026-11-09 23:55

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