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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Jacksonville Dolphins v UMKC Kangaroos

开赛时间： 2026-11-10 00:03 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jacksonville Dolphins (主队)

预测 61.57%1.62公平赔率
EV -2.10%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -3.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布
59.95%61.65%61.58%63.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.551.561.5968.03%64.71%64.10%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

UMKC Kangaroos (客队)

预测 38.43%2.60公平赔率
EV -0.085%
优势 -0.033%
Kelly -0.053%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
36.57%38.35%38.42%40.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.442.452.6042.55%41.05%40.82%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jacksonville Dolphins (主队)：61.57%；UMKC Kangaroos (客队)：38.43%。 对于“UMKC Kangaroos (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.602。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.600，期望值为-0.085%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.10%E -1.32%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-09 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.72%E -1.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-09 23:50
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.70%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-09 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-09 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 23:45
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 23:45
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 23:50
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 23:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 23:45
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 23:45
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 23:45
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 23:45
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.95%E -2.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-09 14:15
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 23:50
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 23:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 23:49
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -9.31%E -3.94%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-09 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.18%E -3.36%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-09 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.80%E -3.79%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.03%E -4.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -6.23%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 14:19
picklebet_au🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.085%E -0.033%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 21:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 14:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -8.92%E -3.77%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.64%E -5.10%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -8.92%E -3.77%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 23:10
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.49%E -6.46%K -20.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.01%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.49%E -6.46%K -20.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.01%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 23:04
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-11-09 23:55
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-11-09 23:45
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-11-09 23:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-11-09 22:10
BetOpenly◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%3.7%2026-11-09 23:55

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