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Jacksonville Dolphins v Austin Peay Governors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jacksonville Dolphins (Local)
Prediction 29.93%3.34fair odd
EV +7.75%
Edge +2.15%
Kelly +2.98%
Growth +0.231%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%29.93%29.97%31.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.993.163.153.6033.44%31.63%31.75%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Austin Peay Governors (Visit)
Prediction 70.07%1.43fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -6.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.58%70.07%70.03%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.351.351.3976.34%73.90%74.07%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Dolphins (Local): 29.93%; Austin Peay Governors (Visit): 70.07%. For Jacksonville Dolphins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +7.75%E +2.15%K +2.98%G +0.231% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -8.21%E -6.27%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.76%E +0.519%K +0.735%G +0.013% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.81%E -5.12%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.268%E +0.080%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 23:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.60%E -1.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.11%E -4.56%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.01%E -2.92%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -8.41%E -2.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -2.60%E -1.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -8.41%E -2.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -6.11%E -4.56%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.11%E -4.56%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.81%E -5.12%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.81%E -5.12%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -10.51%E -3.51%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -4.01%E -2.92%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |