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Jacksonville Dolphins v Austin Peay Governors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jacksonville Dolphins (Local)
Predicción 29.93%3.34momio equitativo
EV +7.75%
Ventaja +2.15%
Kelly +2.98%
Crecimiento +0.231%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%29.93%29.97%31.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.993.163.153.6033.44%31.63%31.75%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Austin Peay Governors (Visitante)
Predicción 70.07%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -6.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.58%70.07%70.03%73.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.311.351.351.3976.34%73.90%74.07%71.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jacksonville Dolphins (Local): 29.93%; Austin Peay Governors (Visitante): 70.07%. Para Jacksonville Dolphins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.34. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.75%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +7.75%E +2.15%K +2.98%G +0.231% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -8.21%E -6.27%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.76%E +0.519%K +0.735%G +0.013% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.81%E -5.12%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.268%E +0.080%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 23:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.60%E -1.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.11%E -4.56%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.01%E -2.92%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.30%E -2.39%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -8.41%E -2.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -2.60%E -1.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -8.41%E -2.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -6.11%E -4.56%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.11%E -4.56%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.71%E -3.46%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.41%E -4.00%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.81%E -5.12%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.81%E -5.12%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -10.51%E -3.51%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -4.01%E -2.92%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |