Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jackson St Tigers v Miss Valley St Delta Devils

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 01:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

83%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jackson St Tigers (Local)

Prediction 82.80%1.21fair odd

EV -3.13%

Edge -2.67%

Kelly -18.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.04%82.82%82.58%84.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.111.141.131.1790.09%88.04%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miss Valley St Delta Devils (Visit)

Prediction 17.20%5.81fair odd

EV +7.51%

Edge +1.20%

Kelly +1.43%

Growth +0.107%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.31%17.18%17.42%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.005.795.756.2520.00%17.28%17.39%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jackson St Tigers (Local): 82.80%; Miss Valley St Delta Devils (Visit): 17.20%. For Miss Valley St Delta Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.81. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107%	4.5%	2026-03-06 01:39
Virgin Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107%	4.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107%	4.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
LeoVegas🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107%	4.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
betPARX🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107%	4.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107%	4.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107%	4.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107%	4.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107%	4.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
Pinnacle🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.65%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	6.23I 16.05%NM 15.35%EV +7.17%E +1.15%K +1.37%G +0.098%	4.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
Coral🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.09%E -7.29%K -73.58%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.09%E -0.190%K -0.230%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.09%E -7.29%K -73.58%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.09%E -0.190%K -0.230%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
FanDuel🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.95%E -3.41%K -24.71%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.39%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-06 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.39%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-06 01:40
Unibet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.39%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-06 01:40
BetRivers🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.39%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-06 01:40
TABtouch🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.11%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-06 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.11%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-06 01:40
DraftKings🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.39%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -9.69%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.88%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.69%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-06 01:40
Betway🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.39%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.99%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-06 01:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.39%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.99%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-06 01:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%	5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%	1.0%	2026-03-06 01:40
Polymarket◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%	5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%	2.0%	2026-03-06 01:40
ProphetX◎	1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%	6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%	2.1%	2026-03-06 01:31
Novig◎	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.22%	4.93I 20.28%NM 18.78%	8.0%	2026-03-06 01:40