La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.17
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25
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| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +7.51%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.107% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.65%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.35%EV +7.17%E +1.15%K +1.37%G +0.098% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.09%E -7.29%K -73.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.09%E -0.190%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.09%E -7.29%K -73.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.09%E -0.190%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.95%E -3.41%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.39%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.39%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.39%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.39%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.11%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.11%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -9.69%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.69%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Betway | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.99%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.99%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 01:31 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.22% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 18.78% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |