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Iowa State Cyclones v Kentucky Wildcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iowa State Cyclones (Local)
Prediction 66.09%1.51fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.43%65.93%65.98%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.431.4971.43%69.76%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)
Prediction 33.91%2.95fair odd
EV +0.036%
Edge +0.012%
Kelly +0.018%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%34.07%34.02%36.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.802.9539.22%36.06%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 66.09%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 33.91%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.949. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.950, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.036%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.036%E +0.012%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.66%E -0.572%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.49%E -3.84%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.66%E -0.572%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.34%E -0.812%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.34%E -0.812%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -2.19%E -1.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -2.68%E -0.933%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.36%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.36%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.85%E -1.94%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.03%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -4.71%E -1.68%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 18:43 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.47%E -5.34%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.47%E -5.34%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.44%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.44%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.47%E -5.34%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.44%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -9.12%E -3.40%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -11.15%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.47%E -5.34%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.15%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -11.49%E -4.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -2.85%E -1.94%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -13.53%E -5.31%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 18:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |