La escuela de los momios

Iowa State Cyclones v Kentucky Wildcats

Inicio: 2026-03-22 18:49 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Iowa State Cyclones (Local)

Predicción 66.09%1.51momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -3.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.43%65.93%65.98%67.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.431.431.4971.43%69.76%69.93%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kentucky Wildcats (Visitante)

Predicción 33.91%2.95momio equitativo
EV +0.036%
Ventaja +0.012%
Kelly +0.018%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.49%34.07%34.02%36.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.772.802.9539.22%36.06%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.036%E +0.012%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 18:44
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.66%E -0.572%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 18:45
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.49%E -3.84%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.66%E -0.572%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 18:44
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.34%E -0.812%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.34%E -0.812%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 18:44
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -2.19%E -1.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -2.68%E -0.933%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-22 18:44
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.36%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 18:44
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.36%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 18:44
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.85%E -1.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.03%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 18:44
MyBookie.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -4.71%E -1.68%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 18:44
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 18:44
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 18:43
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:44
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:44
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:44
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:44
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:44
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:45
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:45
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 18:44
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 18:44
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.83%E -3.35%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 18:44
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 18:44
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 18:45
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 18:45
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 18:45
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 18:44
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 18:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.47%E -5.34%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:44
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.47%E -5.34%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:44
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.44%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:44
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.44%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.47%E -5.34%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.44%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 18:44
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -9.12%E -3.40%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 18:45
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -11.15%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 18:44
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.47%E -5.34%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.15%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 18:45
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -11.49%E -4.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 18:44
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -2.85%E -1.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -13.53%E -5.31%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 18:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-03-22 18:45
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-03-22 18:44
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-22 18:45
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-22 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.4%2026-03-22 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.4%2026-03-22 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.4%2026-03-22 18:45
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-22 18:45
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-22 18:45