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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Iowa Hawkeyes v Michigan Wolverines

开赛时间： 2026-03-06 01:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

42 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Iowa Hawkeyes (主队)

预测 22.35%4.47公平赔率
EV +0.592%
优势 +0.132%
Kelly +0.169%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
21.19%22.34%22.38%23.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.964.294.304.5025.25%23.30%23.26%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

Michigan Wolverines (客队)

预测 77.65%1.29公平赔率
EV -3.72%
优势 -3.00%
Kelly -15.49%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.24

博彩公司预测分布
76.30%77.66%77.62%78.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.221.211.2483.33%82.14%82.30%80.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Iowa Hawkeyes (主队)：22.35%；Michigan Wolverines (客队)：77.65%。 对于“Iowa Hawkeyes (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.47。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.50，对应+0.592%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:44
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.50%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 00:45
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 00:45
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 00:45
Pinnacle🎯4.36I 22.94%NM 22.14%EV -2.54%E -0.582%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.86%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 00:25
Caesars🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.50%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:50
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:50
Everygame🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 22:44
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.50%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:40
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.50%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 01:00
Bet Right🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:45
TAB🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 23:55
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:45
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:05
Fliff🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -7.23%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 00:45
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 22:50
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 22:49
BoyleSports🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.00%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 00:55
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 08:50
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 01:00
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 00:45
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 00:45
1xBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -11.48%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -4.50%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 23:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-03-06 00:59
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-03-05 23:30
Novig◎4.61I 21.69%NM 21.47%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.53%1.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-03-06 00:55
Polymarket◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-03-06 00:55
ProphetX◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%2.6%2026-03-06 01:00