L’École des cotes

Iowa Hawkeyes v Michigan Wolverines

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 01:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prévision 22.35%4.47cote équitable
EV +0.592%
Avantage +0.132%
Kelly +0.169%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.19%22.34%22.38%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.964.294.304.5025.25%23.30%23.26%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Michigan Wolverines (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.65%1.29cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -3.00%
Kelly -15.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.30%77.66%77.62%78.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.221.211.2483.33%82.14%82.30%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.592%E +0.132%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:44
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.50%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 00:45
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 00:45
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 00:45
Pinnacle4.36I 22.94%NM 22.14%EV -2.54%E -0.582%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.86%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 00:25
Caesars4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.50%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 23:50
Betr (AU)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.76%E -0.635%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:45
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 22:40
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:50
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:50
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:50
Everygame4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 22:44
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.50%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:40
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.50%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 01:00
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:45
TAB4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.88%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 23:55
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:45
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 23:05
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:05
Fliff4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -7.23%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 00:45
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 22:50
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 22:49
BoyleSports4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.00%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 00:55
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 08:50
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 01:00
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 00:45
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 00:45
1xBet3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -11.48%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -4.50%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-03-06 00:59
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-03-05 23:30
Novig4.61I 21.69%NM 21.47%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.53%1.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-03-06 00:55
Polymarket4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-03-06 00:55
ProphetX4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%2.6%2026-03-06 01:00