Language:English
Iowa Hawkeyes v Maryland Terrapins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)
Prediction 84.96%1.18fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -22.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.16%84.88%85.17%86.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.41%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maryland Terrapins (Visit)
Prediction 15.04%6.65fair odd
EV +5.30%
Edge +0.757%
Kelly +0.883%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.69%15.12%14.83%17.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.226.257.0019.05%16.08%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 84.96%; Maryland Terrapins (Visit): 15.04%. For Maryland Terrapins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.65. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.70%E -5.13%K -51.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +5.30%E +0.757%K +0.883%G +0.047% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.70%E -5.13%K -51.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +5.30%E +0.757%K +0.883%G +0.047% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 14:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -6.55%E -5.95%K -65.47%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV +3.80%E +0.550%K +0.643%G +0.024% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.66%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.34%EV +0.636%E +0.095%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 15:37 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.25%E -7.64%K -103.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 15:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -3.73%E -0.582%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.70%E -5.13%K -51.80%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.73%E -0.582%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.70%E -5.13%K -51.80%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.73%E -0.582%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -4.63%E -0.730%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -4.63%E -0.730%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 15:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -5.23%E -0.830%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.98%E -0.957%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 15:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.98%E -0.957%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.98%E -0.957%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.40%E -6.79%K -82.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -5.98%E -0.957%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.40%E -6.79%K -82.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -5.98%E -0.957%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.15%E -2.76%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.70%E -5.13%K -51.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.55%E -5.95%K -65.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.55%E -5.95%K -65.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.15%E -2.76%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.75%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.26%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.26%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -18.77%E -3.48%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -18.77%E -3.48%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -3.15%E -2.76%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -21.03%E -4.00%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.44% | 7.94I 12.59%NM 12.56% | 0.3% | 2026-03-11 15:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-03-11 15:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 15:55 |