L’École des cotes

Iowa Hawkeyes v Maryland Terrapins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prévision 84.96%1.18cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -2.76%
Kelly -22.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.16%84.88%85.17%86.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.41%89.29%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Maryland Terrapins (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.04%6.65cote équitable
EV +5.30%
Avantage +0.757%
Kelly +0.883%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.69%15.12%14.83%17.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.256.226.257.0019.05%16.08%16.00%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.70%E -5.13%K -51.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +5.30%E +0.757%K +0.883%G +0.047%4.4%2026-03-11 15:55
Everygame1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.70%E -5.13%K -51.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +5.30%E +0.757%K +0.883%G +0.047%4.4%2026-03-11 14:24
ReBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -6.55%E -5.95%K -65.47%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV +3.80%E +0.550%K +0.643%G +0.024%5.4%2026-03-11 15:55
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 85.66%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.34%EV +0.636%E +0.095%K +0.112%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-11 15:50
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 15:40
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 15:40
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 15:55
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 15:55
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 15:55
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 15:55
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 15:55
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 15:55
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 15:40
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 15:55
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 15:37
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.25%E -7.64%K -103.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.22%E -0.342%K -0.404%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-11 15:39
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -3.73%E -0.582%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.70%E -5.13%K -51.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.73%E -0.582%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 15:40
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.70%E -5.13%K -51.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.73%E -0.582%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 15:40
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -4.63%E -0.730%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 15:40
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -4.63%E -0.730%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 15:39
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -5.23%E -0.830%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 15:40
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.98%E -0.957%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 15:54
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.98%E -0.957%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 15:45
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.98%E -0.957%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 15:45
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.40%E -6.79%K -82.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -5.98%E -0.957%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 15:40
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.40%E -6.79%K -82.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -5.98%E -0.957%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 15:40
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.15%E -2.76%K -22.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 15:45
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 15:55
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 15:40
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 15:55
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 15:55
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 15:40
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 15:55
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 15:55
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.70%E -5.13%K -51.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.55%E -5.95%K -65.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 15:40
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.55%E -5.95%K -65.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.74%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 15:45
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.15%E -2.76%K -22.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.75%E -2.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:40
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.26%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 15:45
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.85%E -4.33%K -40.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.26%E -3.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 15:50
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -18.77%E -3.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 15:40
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.00%E -3.54%K -30.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -18.77%E -3.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 15:55
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -3.15%E -2.76%K -22.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -21.03%E -4.00%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 87.44%7.94I 12.59%NM 12.56%0.3%2026-03-11 15:50
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-03-11 15:55
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-11 15:50
BetOpenly1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%3.9%2026-03-11 15:55