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Incarnate Word Cardinals v Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 25.27%3.96fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.272%
Kelly +0.363%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.88%25.36%25.53%27.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.633.674.0029.85%27.53%27.21%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit)
Prediction 74.73%1.34fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.03%74.64%74.47%76.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.281.3281.30%77.89%78.13%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local): 25.27%; Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit): 74.73%. For Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.09%E +0.272%K +0.363%G +0.004% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.14%EV +0.077%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.86%EV -5.84%E -4.64%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.175%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.175%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.84%E -4.64%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -0.934%E -0.238%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%EV -8.08%E -6.57%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 20:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.44%E -0.369%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 20:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.44%E -0.369%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.84%E -4.64%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.97%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.97%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.97%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 20:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -5.99%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -5.84%E -4.64%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 20:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.84%E -4.64%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 20:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.11%E -1.61%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.34%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.85%E -2.20%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 21:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-03-02 23:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-02 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.67% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.33% | 2.1% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |