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Incarnate Word Cardinals v Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local)
Predicción 25.27%3.96momio equitativo
EV +1.09%
Ventaja +0.272%
Kelly +0.363%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.88%25.36%25.53%27.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.633.674.0029.85%27.53%27.21%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visitante)
Predicción 74.73%1.34momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -4.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.03%74.64%74.47%76.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.231.281.281.3281.30%77.89%78.13%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local): 25.27%; Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visitante): 74.73%. Para Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.96. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.09%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.09%E +0.272%K +0.363%G +0.004% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.14%EV +0.077%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.86%EV -5.84%E -4.64%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.175%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.175%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.84%E -4.64%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -0.934%E -0.238%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%EV -8.08%E -6.57%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 20:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.44%E -0.369%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 20:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.44%E -0.369%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.84%E -4.64%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.97%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.97%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.97%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 20:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -5.99%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -5.84%E -4.64%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 20:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.84%E -4.64%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.02%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 20:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.55%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.36%E -1.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -14.08%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.11%E -1.61%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -15.34%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.85%E -2.20%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 21:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-03-02 23:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-02 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.67% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.33% | 2.1% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |