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Illinois St Redbirds v Belmont Bruins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Illinois St Redbirds (Local)
Prediction 48.80%2.05fair odd
EV +0.037%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.91%48.93%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.952.0554.64%51.09%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Belmont Bruins (Visit)
Prediction 51.20%1.95fair odd
EV +2.40%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +2.40%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%51.09%51.07%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.841.832.0055.87%54.46%54.64%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois St Redbirds (Local): 48.80%; Belmont Bruins (Visit): 51.20%. For Belmont Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +2.40%E +1.20%K +2.40%G +0.058% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-01 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 21:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.75%E -4.68%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.75%E -4.68%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.77%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 21:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 21:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.72%E -5.26%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 19:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 21:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 19:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.35%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.35%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 21:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 21:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 21:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 21:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 21:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 21:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 21:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 21:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 21:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.037%E +0.018%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.037%E +0.018%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 21:32 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 21:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -8.35%E -4.66%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 21:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75% | 0.1% | 2026-03-01 21:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 21:44 |
| Novig◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 21:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 21:49 |