L’École des cotes

Illinois St Redbirds v Belmont Bruins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Illinois St Redbirds (Local)

Prévision 48.80%2.05cote équitable
EV +0.037%
Avantage +0.018%
Kelly +0.035%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%48.91%48.93%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.952.0554.64%51.09%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Belmont Bruins (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.20%1.95cote équitable
EV +2.40%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +2.40%
Croissance +0.058%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%51.09%51.07%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.841.832.0055.87%54.46%54.64%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +2.40%E +1.20%K +2.40%G +0.058%4.6%2026-03-01 19:14
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 21:30
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 21:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:44
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 20:59
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:55
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.75%E -4.68%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 21:30
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.75%E -4.68%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:49
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.77%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 21:54
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 21:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 21:44
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 21:44
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 21:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 21:44
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 21:54
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.72%E -5.26%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 19:29
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 21:39
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 19:44
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.35%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.35%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 21:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 21:44
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 21:44
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 21:44
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 19:49
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:34
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:34
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:34
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:34
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:34
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:35
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.43%E -0.706%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:34
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 21:35
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 21:34
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 21:34
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.037%E +0.018%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 21:09
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.037%E +0.018%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 21:10
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 21:32
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 21:34
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 21:55
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -8.35%E -4.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 21:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%0.1%2026-03-01 21:55
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-01 21:44
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%1.1%2026-03-01 21:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-01 21:55
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%6.4%2026-03-01 21:49