Language:English
Illinois Fighting Illini v Iowa Hawkeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)
Prediction 72.42%1.38fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -6.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.00%72.37%72.57%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.99%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)
Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV -0.720%
Edge -0.200%
Kelly -0.277%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.63%27.43%30.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.71%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 72.42%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 27.58%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.720%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.23%E -1.65%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -13.13%E -4.17%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.95%E -2.20%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 18:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -2.95%E -2.20%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -10.92%E -3.38%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 11:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 21:43 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 01:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 01:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 01:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -1.27%E -0.355%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.10%E -0.591%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.93%E -0.831%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.93%E -0.831%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.13%E -3.91%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.720%E -0.200%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.13%E -3.91%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.13%E -3.91%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.720%E -0.200%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.10%E -0.591%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 22:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -2.65%E -0.751%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.44%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.58%E -5.10%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.58%E -5.10%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 18:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.30%E -5.70%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.30%E -5.70%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.30%E -5.70%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -8.02%E -6.32%K -29.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -14.51%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.09% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.91% | -0.0% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 05:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 18:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 02:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 18:10 |