L’École des cotes

Illinois Fighting Illini v Iowa Hawkeyes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 22:09 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Prévision 72.42%1.38cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -6.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.00%72.37%72.57%73.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.99%75.76%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.58%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.720%
Avantage -0.200%
Kelly -0.277%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.53%27.63%27.43%30.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.71%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.23%E -1.65%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -13.13%E -4.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 17:34
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.95%E -2.20%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 18:14
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -2.95%E -2.20%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -10.92%E -3.38%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 18:24
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 18:35
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 11:30
TAB1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 01:50
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:40
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:40
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:40
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:40
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:40
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:43
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:30
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:30
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:30
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:29
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.68%E -2.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:29
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -1.27%E -0.355%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:10
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.10%E -0.591%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:45
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.93%E -0.831%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:50
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.93%E -0.831%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:45
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:45
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 21:40
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.40%E -3.34%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 21:40
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.13%E -3.91%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.720%E -0.200%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:00
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.13%E -3.91%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.13%E -3.91%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 01:45
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.720%E -0.200%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 18:15
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.10%E -0.591%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -2.65%E -0.751%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:45
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.44%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 21:10
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-28 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 11:30
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.85%E -4.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 11:30
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.58%E -5.10%K -22.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 21:00
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.58%E -5.10%K -22.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 18:14
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.30%E -5.70%K -26.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 18:15
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.30%E -5.70%K -26.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 18:15
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.30%E -5.70%K -26.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-28 03:00
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -8.02%E -6.32%K -29.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -14.51%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 22:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.35I 74.07%NM 74.09%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.91%-0.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-03-27 05:35
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-27 18:05
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-03-28 00:05
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-03-28 02:24
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%8.0%2026-03-27 18:10