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Houston Cougars v Illinois Fighting Illini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Cougars (Local)
Prediction 56.46%1.77fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.27%56.39%56.48%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.53%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit)
Prediction 43.54%2.30fair odd
EV +0.138%
Edge +0.060%
Kelly +0.106%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%43.61%43.52%44.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.182.202.3047.85%45.87%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 56.46%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 43.54%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.297. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.300, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.138%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.138%E +0.060%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 01:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.733%E -0.322%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.04%E -0.906%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-26 18:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.04%E -0.906%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 01:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.04%E -0.906%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.35%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.45%E -2.02%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 01:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 21:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 01:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 01:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 01:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.53%E -5.27%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-26 20:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 01:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.76%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.76%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.76%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.76%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 21:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 21:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.53%E -5.27%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.32%E -1.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.83%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 01:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.84%E -4.14%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.84%E -4.14%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.84%E -4.14%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -9.01%E -4.31%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 01:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -9.01%E -4.31%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 16:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-26 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |