La escuela de los momios

Houston Cougars v Illinois Fighting Illini

Inicio: 2026-03-27 02:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Cougars (Local)

Predicción 56.46%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.27%56.39%56.48%57.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.53%59.52%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Illinois Fighting Illini (Visitante)

Predicción 43.54%2.30momio equitativo
EV +0.138%
Ventaja +0.060%
Kelly +0.106%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.07%43.61%43.52%44.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.092.182.202.3047.85%45.87%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.138%E +0.060%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 01:58
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.733%E -0.322%K -0.573%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-27 01:50
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.04%E -0.906%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 18:25
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.04%E -0.906%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 01:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.04%E -0.906%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 01:54
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.35%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 01:59
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.45%E -2.02%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 02:00
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 02:00
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 01:49
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 21:44
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 01:50
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 01:50
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 01:50
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 01:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 01:50
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 01:50
TAB1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:24
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 01:39
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 01:39
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 01:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.53%E -5.27%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 20:59
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 21:45
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 01:50
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 01:50
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 01:54
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.09%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 01:55
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.76%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 02:00
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.76%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.76%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 02:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.76%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 21:44
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 21:44
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 01:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.53%E -5.27%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 01:55
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.32%E -1.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.83%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 01:55
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 01:59
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.84%E -4.14%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 01:59
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.84%E -4.14%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.84%E -4.14%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 02:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -9.01%E -4.31%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 01:55
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -9.01%E -4.31%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 16:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-03-27 02:00
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-03-27 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-03-27 02:00
BetOpenly1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-27 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-03-27 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-03-27 02:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-27 01:50
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-26 19:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-03-27 02:00